Conclusions from a leading expert on issues of impunity in conflicts (1)

Raymond Depardon · Rwanda. Kigali. 5000 prisoners are crowded together in a former Belgian prison, waiting to be tried for the genocide of 1994. © Magnum
At the time of ethnic cleansing, the international criminal justice is an excellent opportunity to fight against impunity in many societies. But ICJ is also accused of being politically manipulated. This virulent controversy suffers a gap that is now partly filled: a comprehensive factual analysis on the impact of international justice which shows that only 1% of war criminals are indicted by the International Justice. It is not the least of paradoxes that the law professor Cherif Bassiouni, who has dedicated his life to fight against impunity that leads to this result, after conducting an extensive survey involving hundreds of specialists from around the world for two years.
After scrutinizing mechanisms to fight against impunity in place between 1945 and 2007 in the 313 conflicts identified who made a hundred million deaths, the report highlights how, in the past 60 years, impunity remained the rule rather than the exception: 823 war criminals were indicted in all by international or hybrid tribunals since 1993, most of which were for crimes committed in the former Yugoslavia (about 320), the Timor-Leste (400) and Rwanda (79), for an average cost of 10 million francs per case.
We knew that international justice was expensive and was not intended to charge mass, but rather to charge cases of examples. The facts bear this out. These results are yet to be analyzed carefully, because they conceal as much as they reveal. If, for example, the conflict in Liberia has caused tens of thousands of victims and that impunity was the rule, the fact remains that Charles Taylor’s indictment, arrest and trial before the PCG Special Court for Sierra Leone, has enabled the Sierra Leone’s society to initiate a return to stability. Therefore, the effectiveness of an indictment can not be measured only in quantitative terms. Furthermore, as stated in Christopher Mullins’ contribution (2), 55% of conflicts have given rise to various measures relating to justice in the broadest sense, whatever the issues are essentially national trials, memorialization processes or purge laws.
Regarding truth commissions and investigating committees, the report has enumerated fifty only, despite the high profile given to some of them, particularly the one led by Desmond Tutu in South Africa – The Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC). Also the survey brings to light that only in 16 out of 313 conflicts, victims have received reparations.
But the most shocking figure is the changing ratio of military into civilian casualties in the space of a century: during the First World War, civilians “only” accounted for “only” half of the victims, while the percentage jumped to 90% at the end of the twentieth century. There is a disturbing transformation of the nature of conflicts. And that perhaps gives even more meaning to the need to prosecute the most serious crimes.
Since 1945, over the 100 of millions of deaths, Asia paid the highest price (46 million), followed by Europe (25 million), Africa (15 million), the Arab world (6 million) and Americas (less than 3 million).
Faced with the reality of almost total impunity for war criminals, Cherif Bassiouni stresses the need for a holistic approach in the treatment of serious violations of human rights. It is interesting to note that the debate in the late 1990′s between proponents of trial and proponents of truth commissions is now obsolete. Given the proliferation of internal conflicts and weakening of states, the two schools come together now to use both judicial and extra-judicial means for mobilizing traditional and/or innovative instruments in the crime management.
That is what Louis Joinet – UN special rapporteur for the fight against impunity in the 1990s – had conceptualized when he established the four pillars (right to the truth, right to justice, right to reparations and right to security) intended to strengthen the reconciliation process. But in the same way that politics is a performance art, post-conflict justice is a perilous exercise, forced to take into account what is just and what is possible – in other words, the combination of the ethics of conviction and ethics of responsibility.
_______________
(1) Cherif Bassiouni (ed.), The Pursuit of International Criminal Justice: A Study on World Conflicts, Victimization, and Post-Conflict Justice, 2 volumes, Intersentia.
(2) Christopher Mullins, We Are Going to Rape You and Taste Tutsi Women: Rape During the 1994 Rwandan Genocide, British Journal of Criminology Volume:49 Issue:6 Dated:November 2009
“ Dirty Secrets, Dirty War: The Exile of Robert J. Cox (Buenos Aires, Argentina: 1976-1983)” by David Cox, Evening Post Publishing, June 2009

I have just read the book. And it is a rather surprisingly pessimistic –and surprisingly (to my mind) reactionary– assessment of the state of politics and society in Europe. In particular, Todd apparently emphasizes the socially stabilizing value of religion and calls for protectionist trade barriers.
